5th AIEE Energy Symposium Current and Future Challenges to Energy Security
Tuesday – December 15, 2020
15:30-17:00 – Opening Welcome Address
(h 15.20-15.30 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 15.30-17.00)
Carlo Di Primio, AIEE President
Beppe Soda, Dean of the SDA Bocconi School of Management
Matteo Di Castelnuovo, Associate Professor of Practice, Just Energy Transition Coordinator, Sustainability Lab, SDA Bocconi School of Management, President of the Programme Committee
Agime Gerbeti, President of the AIEE Scientific Committee and of the Conference Scientific Committee
Carlo Andrea Bollino, Honorary President AIEE and Conference General Chair.
Keynote speakers:
Enrico Gibellieri, Consultative Commission on Industrial Change (CCMI) of the European Economic and social Committee (EESC)
Fereidoon Sioshansi, President Menlo Energy Economics, USA
Wednesday – December 16, 2020
09.00 -10.30 – virtual concurrent sessions n. 1-4 (1h.30′ each)
(h 08.50-09.00 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 09.00-10.30)
1. Energy efficiency and carbon emissions reduction in buildings
Chair: Federico Santi, University of Rome La Sapienza
Are green value preferences for Energy Quality Stationary?A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of the Green Energy Value Evolution at Metropolitan Lyon
Presenter: Nathaly Cruz, Climate Economics Chair, University Paris Nanterre, France
Authors: Nathaly Cruz, Marc Baudry
Assessment of domestic hot water demand: various criteria checked against real life data
Presenter: Giuseppe Dell’Olio, Gestore dei Servizi Energetici – GSE, Italy
Authors: Giuseppe Dell’Olio
Price responsiveness and carbon emissions reductions in the residential sector: evidence from a natural experiment in Russia
Presenter: Salim Turdaliev, Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Czech Republic
Authors: Salim Turdaliev, Anna Alberini, and Milan Scasny
Energy efficiency in public historical buildings: an integrated approach. The case of the National Gallery of Modern and Contemporary Art in Rome
Presenter: Francesco Castellani
Authors: Francesco Castellani, Federico Santi, Romano Alberto Acri
2. Integrating renewables in the energy market
Chair: Lucia Visconti Parisio, Bicocca University, Italy
The Participation of Small-Scale Variable Distributed Renewable Energy Sources to the Balancing Services Market
Presenter: Marina Bertolini, University of Padova, Italy
Authors: Marco Agostini, Marina Bertolini, Massimiliano Coppo, Fulvio Fontini
Feed-in tariffs and investment in renewable energy technologies under uncertain production volumes
Presenter: Matthias Ondra, Vienna University of Technology, Austria
Authors: Matthias Ondra, Thomas Dangl
Where are the effective ways to promote china’s renewable energy industry? Evidence from semiparametric regression models
Presenter: Bin Xu, School of Statistics Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, China
Author: Bin Xu
A Data-driven approach to renewable energy source planning at regional level
Presenter: Angelo Facchini, IMT School for Advanced Studies, Italy
Authors: Francesco Surmonte; Umberto Perna; Antonio Scala, Alessandro Rubino
3. The energy-economy nexus
Chair:
Assessing stakeholder acceptance of energy transformation pathways: the case of Germany’s net zero strategy
Presenter: Sri Vishnu Teja Josyabhatla, Forschungszentrum, Jülich, Germany
Authors: Sri Vishnu Teja Josyabhatla, Christopher Ball, Stefan Vögele
How far we are from price convergence in the EU energy markets? A two-step procedure to define a composite index of electricity and natural gas prices
Presenter: Consuelo R. Nava, University of Valle d’Aosta, Italy
Authors: Ernesto Cassetta, Consuelo R. Nava, Maria Grazia Zoia
Emergency measures to protect energy consumers during the covid-19 pandemic: a focus on the Italian interventions
Presenter: Paolo Mastropietro, Universidad Pontificia Comillas
Authors: Paolo Mastropietro,Pablo Rodilla, Carlos Batlle
The relationships between tourism energy consumption and emissions
Presenter: Inmaculada Crespo Morán, University of Seville, Spain
Authors: Inmaculada Crespo Morán, María del P. Pablo-Romero, Javier Sánchez-Rivas, Antonio Sánchez-Braza
4. Current Gas Market Dynamics
Chair:
Drivers of merger and acquisition transactions in the U.S upstream oil and gas industry
Presenter: Sevkat Ozgur, Faculty of Business, Economics and Statistics, University of Vienna, Austria
Author: Sevkat Ozgur
Exploring Russian Gas Prices to Europe: Empirical Evidence of Price Convergence from Time Series Analysis
Presenter: Amina Talipova, Higher School of Economics
Authors: Amina Talipova, Sergei Parsegov
10.40 -11.40 – Dual Plenary Sessions (1h each)
(h 10.30-10.40 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 10.40-11.40)
EU beyond 2030 and the energy security concerns
Chair: Agime Gerbeti, President of the Scientific Committee AIEE, Italy
speakers confirmed:
Laura Cozzi, Chief Energy Modeller IEA
Marco Falcone, Government Relations and Issues Manager, Esso Italiana, Exxon Mobil Group, Italy
Silvia Pariente-David, Consultant on energy and climate change and Senior advisor – Center for Mediterranean Integration, World Bank, France
Elena Donnari, High-level Administrator for CRM and MIT, Council of European Regulators-CEER
Regulatory challenges and market developments
Chair: Alessandro Ortis, Honoray President of MEDREG (Mediterranean Energy Regulators), Past President of the Italian Authority – ARERA,
speakers confirmed:
Derek Bunn, Professor of Decision Sciences at London Business School, UK
Giordano Colarullo, General Manager, Federation of the Italian Utilities – Utilitalia, Italy
Jean Michel Glachant, Director of the Florence School of Regulation and the Holder of the Loyola de Palacio Chair
Agostino Re Rebaudengo, President of Elettricità Futura (The Italian Association of the Electicity Industry) and of Asja
11.50 -13.20 – virtual concurrent sessions n. 5-8 (1h.30′ each)
(h 11.40-11.50 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 11.50-13.20)
5. The renewable energy reality: case studies
Chair: Davide Tabarelli, NE-Nomisma Energia, Italy
Modelling transformation pathways for EU27+3 final energy demand using timely and spatially resloved sector models
Presenter: Claudia Fiedler, Forschungsstelle für Energiewirtschaft e.V, Germany
Authors: Andrej Guminski, Claudia Fiedler, Timo Limmer
On the impact of wind and solar generation on Nuclear power. The case of France
Presenter: François Benhmad, Montpellier University, France
Authors: François Benhmad, Jacques Percebois
Photovoltaics and the Solar Rebound: Evidence for Germany
Presenter: Kathrin Kaestner, RWI – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Authors: Kathrin Kaestner, Manuel Frondel, Stephan Sommer, Colin Vance
Renewable and intermittent photovoltaic generation by households under the fit scheme in Hong Kong
Presenter: Prudence Dato, SCCER CREST, University of Basel, Switzerland
Authors: Prudence Dato, Tunç Durmaz, Aude Pommeret
_____
7 . Rethinking the energy security strategies
Chair: Matteo Di Castenuovo, SDA Bocconi School of Management, Italy
Energy security – shift of paradigms
Presenter: Honorata Nyga-Lukaszewska, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Authors: Honorata Nyga-Lukaszewska
Energy Security Implications of Small Modular Reactors and Microreactors Deployment in Off-Grid Areas in Northern Regions
Presenter: Denis Subbotnitskiy, International Atomic Energy Agency, Austria
Authors: Chirayu Batra, Denis Subbotnitskiy
Europe Energy road map to 2050: a coal phase-out in the context of international investment law
Presenter: Martin Švec, Masaryk University, Faculty of Law, Czech Republic
Authors: Martin Švec
8 . The price and forecasting in power system
Chair: Fatma Çiğdem Çelik, Okan University, Turkey
Multistep ahead forecasting of a power system residual load using a hybrid CEEMDAN-ConvLSTM model
Presenter: Coudray Théotime, University of Montpellier-ART-Dev laboratory and Climate Economics, France
Author: Coudray Théotime
Study of factors that influence the price of electricity
Presenter: Daiva Dumciuviene, Kaunas University of Technology, Lithuania
Authors: Daiva Dumciuviene, Grazina Startiene
Energy Load and Price Forecasting: Methods and Variable Treatment
Presenters: Vanshika Fotedar, Alasdair Crawford, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, USA
Authors: Vanshika Fotedar, Alasdair Crawford
The relationship between day-ahead and futures prices in electricity market: an empirical analysis on Italy, France, Germany and Switzerland
Presenter: Cinzia Bonaldo, University of Padua, Italy
Authors: Cinzia Bonaldo; Massimiliano Caporin; Fulvio Fontini
13.20 -14.20 – Break
14.30 -16.00 – Dual Plenary Sessions (1h.30 each)
(h 14.20-14.30 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 14.30-16.00)
Energy industry challenges to a low-carbon economy, the RES and gas role in the transition
Chair: Carlo Di Primio, AIEE President, Italy
speakers confirmed:
Luca Bragoli, Head of Public Affairs ERG, Italy
Massimiliano Mannino, Shell Energy, Italy Country manager
Lorenzo Mottura, Strategy & Corporate Development Director, Edison, Italy
Vilayat Valiyev, IAEE VP for Regional Development, Rector of Azerbaijan Technical University, Azerbaijan
Giacomo Rispoli, CEO MyRechemicals, Italy
Sustainable mobility challenges for the transition targets
Chair: G.B. Zorzoli, President FREE
speakers confirmed:
Amela Ajanovic, Associate Professor & Senior Research Scientist, Energy Economics Group, Vienna University
of Technology, Austria
Vincent Schachter, Senior Vice President Energy Services eMotorWerks, France
Claudo Spinaci, President of UNEM – Energy Union for Mobility, Italy
Mariarosa Baroni, President NGV Italy
Dino Marcozzi, General Secretay MOTUS-E member of the European Platform for Mobility, Italy
16.10 -17.40 – virtual concurrent sessions n. 9-12 (1h.30′ each)
(h 16.00-16.10 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 16.10-17.40)
9 . The Electricity market: risks and opportunities
Chair: Arturo Lorenzoni, University of Padua, Italy
An optimization approach for a local electricity market
Presenter: Markus Schindler, Forschung Burgenland, Austria
Authors: Markus Schindler, Lukas Gnam
The future of capacity remuneration mechanisms in the EU, revisited
Presenter: Íñigo del Guayo, University of Almería, Spain
Authors: Íñigo del Guayo, Giuseppe Ferrari and Wojciech Drozdz
Electricity market capacity mechanism and strategic capacity withholding in Turkey
Presenter: Tunç Durmaz, Yildiz Technical University, Turkey
Authors: Tunç Durmaz, Secil Acar Aytekin, Simay Kizilkaya
Electricity demand, mobility, COVID-19 contagion nexus with heavy lockdown
Presenter: Carlo Andrea Bollino, University of Perugia, Perugia Energy Environment Research Center, and KAPSARC,
Authors: Carlo Andrea Bollino, Simona Bigerna,Maria Chiara D’Errico, Paolo Polinori
10. Global assessment of energy efficiency and sustainability
Chair: Ionut Purica, Romanian Association for Energy Economists-RAEE, Romania
Firm productivity, energy efficiency and export in Asian emerging and developing countries
Presenter: Anam Shehzadi, University Of Kassel, Germany
Author: Anam Shehzadi
Regional policies to boost firms’ energy efficiency and disaster response: a comparative analysis
Presenter: Elisa Valeriani, Università degli Studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Italy
Authors: Maria Giovanna Bosco, Elisa Valeriani
Quantitaive analysis of energy security and environmental sustainability using dynamic multi-sector energy economic model
Presenter: Jubair Sieed, The University of Tokyo, Japan
Authors: Jubair Sieed, Ryoichi Komiyama, Yasumasa Fujii
How to unlock the human potential for promoting energy efficiency? A review on the barriers and levers
Presenter: Nives Della Valle, European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Authors: Paolo Bertoldi and Nives Della Valle
11. Synergies between Climate Change, energy access and energy poverty
Chair:Fulvio Fontini, University of Padua, Italy
Determinants, Persistence and Dynamics of Energy Poverty: An Empirical Assessment Using German Household Survey Data
Presenter: Benedikt Janzen, University of Bern, Switzerland
Authors: Benedikt Janzen, Katharina Drescher
Synergies and Trade-offs between Energy Access, Climate Change and Water Use in Sub-Saharan Africa
Presenter: Isabella Alloisio, Florence School of Regulation Energy and Climate – European University Institute, Italy
Author: Isabella Alloisio
Energy poverty: A multifaceted cornerstone for a sustainable and inclusive recovery. Some evidence from Italy
Presenter: Alessandro Fiorini, ENEA, Italy
Authors: Alessandro Fiorini, Alessandro Federici, Corinna Viola
12. Green revolution: green economies and other technologies
Chair: Antonio Geracitano, University Tor Vergata, Italy
Life Cycle Assessment and eco-design alternatives of Solar Thermal technologies for the promotion of circular economy
Presenter: Maria Milousi, Technical University of Crete, Greece
Authors: Maria Milousi, Manolis Souliotis, Spiros Papaefthimiou
Impact assessment for rate design of wheeling charge system on electricity transmission sector and household sector with a technology selection model
Presenter: Kentarou Kambe, University of Tokyo, Japan
Authors: Kentarou Kambe, Ryoichi Komiyama, Yasumasa Fujii
The BRIDGE study: “Belt and Road Initiative and the Development of Green Economies” – Challenges and opportunities for a Green BRI
Presenter: Rocco De Miglio, E4SMA S.r.l.,Italy
Authors: Rocco De Miglio, Gabriele Cassetti, Xi Yang
Thursday – December 17, 2020
09.00 -10.30 – virtual concurrent sessions n. 13-16 (1h.30′ each)
(h 08.50-09.00 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 09.00-10.30)
13. Smart Energy Services to Improve the Energy Efficiency of the European Building Stock (SENSEI) – H2020 project – Grant agreement nº 847066
Chair: Nicola Sorrentino, University of Calabria, Italy
Towards a performance-based energy economy. The increasing value of Pay for Performance schemes
Presenter: Sotiris Papadelis, HEBES Intelligence, Grece
Author: Sotiris Papadelis
Pay for Performance (P4P) models to foster investment in Energy Efficiency in buildings
Presenter: Charles-Henri Bourgois, Geert Goorden, Factor4, Belgium
Authors: Charles-Henri Bourgois, Arturo Lapietra, Felice Pandolfo
Devising classes of energy efficiency measure for evaluating pay-4-performance (P4P) rate that energy provider will be willing to offer in pay-4-performance scheme
Presenter: Arturo Lapietra, Omnia Energia, Italy
Authors: Arturo Lapietra, Vincenzo D’Agostino, Luca Petrungaro
Adaptability of Pay-for-Performance schemes for promoting energy efficiency in the EU
Presenter: Filippos Anagnostopoulos, Institute for European Energy and Climate Policy, The Netherlands
Authors: Filippos Anagnostopoulos, Dimitra Tzani, Vassilis Stavrakas
14. The European energy roadmap to 2050 and the fiscal policies apply
Chair: Agime Gerbeti, AIEE Italy
The influence of a carbon tax on cost competitiveness
Presenter: Bastien Dufau, University of Bordeaux, France
Authors: Bastien Dufau
Economic impact of GHG costs on the EU industry
Presenter: Agime Gerbeti, AIEE – Italian Association of Energy Economists, Italy
Authors: Agime Gerbeti
EU Energy and Climate Policies to Reach Carbon Neutrality
Presenter: Paolo Bertoldi, European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Author: Paolo Bertoldi
15. The geopolitics of the global energy transition
Chair: Alessandro Rubino, University of Bari, Italy
Iran-China 25 year’s agreement, Energy Implications
Presenter: Fazel M. Farimani, Shahid Beheshti University, Iran
Authors: Fazel M. Farimani, Seyed Reza Mirnezami
Energy transition in Russia: what implications for natural gas?
Presenter: Olga Garanina, Graduate School of Management, St.Petersburg University
Authors: Olga Garanina, Silvana Mima, GAEL-CNRS
Understanding variation in the governance of fracking
Presenter: John D. Graham, School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, USA
Authors: John D. Graham, John A. Rupp
Opportunities to ensure affordable prices and security of natural gas supply in Bulgaria
following the commitments of Gazprom Export before the European Commission
Presenter: Lyubomira Gancheva, Sofia University, ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’
Authors: Lyubomira Gancheva
16. Energy transition and grid transformation
Chair: Elena Fumagalli, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, The Netherlands
The Social – A Positive Driver of the Energy Transition? Six Case Studies from Germany
Presenter: Lisa Hanna Broska, Institute of Energy and Climate Research – Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE) at Research Centre Juelich – Freiberg University of Mining and Technology, Germany
Author: Lisa Hanna Broska
Long term transmission rights, a game changer for cross-border electricity market and interconnection governance in Europe?
Presenter: Diyun Huang, ESAT-ELECTA, Univeristy of Leuven, Belgium
Authors: Diyun Huang, Geert Deconinck
What is the European electricity transmission companies approach to innovation? A novel analytical framework
Presenter: Andrea Biancardi, SDA Bocconi School of Management and Imperial College London, Italy
Author: Andrea Biancardi
Assessing the implications of high vRES long-term scenarios by integrating energy system and dispatch models
Presenter: Francesco Gracceva, Enea, Italy
Authors: Francesco Gracceva, Chiara Bustreo, Arturs Purvins, Marco Sangiorgi
10.40 -11.40 – Dual Plenary Sessions (1h each)
(h 10.30-10.40 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 10.40-11.40)
Grid security and new technologies
Chair: Terna representative
speakers confirmed:
Matteo Codazzi, CEO CESI, Italy
Salvatore Pinto, President Axpo Italia
Giovanni Valtorta, Manager Enel Distribution, Italy
Energy Efficiency and the future strategies of the energy industry
Chair: Gurkan Kumbaroglu – Professor University of Boğaziçi, President of TRAEE- The Turkish Association of Energy Economists, IAEE Past President
speakers confirmed:
Sandro Neri, Enel executive and Coordinator of the Federmanager energy commission (Federation of Italian Managers), Italy
Ferdinando Pozzani, CEO, TEON, Italy
Dario Di Santo, Genergal Manager, Italian Federation for Energy Efficiency – FIRE, Italy
11.50 -13.20 – virtual concurrent sessions n. 17-20 (1h.30′ each)
(h 11.40-11.50 – test of the technical settings with the speakers – session 11.50-13.20)
17. Energy consumption and power demand
Chair: Elisa Scarpa, Edison, Italy
Reclaiming spaces of energy consumption through rethinking approaches to rural electrification in India
Presenter: Manashvi Kumar, Government of Punjab, Chandigarh, India
Authors:Manashvi Kumar
2020 Energy Consumption Estimates
Presenter: Thierry Badouard, Enerdata, France
Authors: Thierry Badouard, Morgan Crenes
How did Italian’s behavior toward energy-consumption change fronm late 1990s to 2012?
Presenter: Alessandro Sapio, University of Napoli “Parthenope”
Authors: Khadija Merzougui, Damiano Fiorillo, Alessandro Sapio
Switching to full electric transport: future power demand requirements in the EU
Presenter: Ionut Purica, Romanian Energy and Economy Association – REEA, Romania
Author: Ionut Purica
18. The impact of oil price fluctuation
Chair: Franco Del Manso, UNEM, Italy
U.S. GDP, Oil Price Shocks and Domestic Oil Production: An ARDL Analysis
Presenter: Gbadebo Oladosu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory , USA
Authors: Gbadebo Oladosu, Paul Leiby, Rocio Uria-Martinez, David Bowman, Megan Johnson
Time-Varying Jump Intensities and the Interconnectedness of the North American Crude Oil Complex
Presenter: Neil A. Wilmot, University of Minnesota Duluth, USA
Author: Neil A. Wilmot
An Exploration of the Role of Petrochemical Demand on World Oil Demand Elasticity
Presenter: Rocio Uría-Martínez, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Authors: Rocio Uría-Martínez, Paul N. Leiby, Gbadebo Oladosu, Megan M. Johnson, and David C. Bowman
19. Strategic contribution of innovation and energy storage to energy security
Chair: Spiros Papaeftimiou, University of Crete, Greece
Could the Fast Reserve drive the investments in storage in the Italian electricity market?
Presenter: Giorgio Perico, REF-E – Ricerca e consulenza per i mercati energetici, Italy
Authors: Giorgio Perico, Virginia Canazza, Antonio De Paola
Renewable energy deployment and energy storage: empirical evidence
Presenter: Dina Azhgaliyeva, Asian Development Bank Institute, Japan
Authors: Dina Azhgaliyeva
The dark side of energy transition: the case of cobalt and the Democratic Republic of Congo
Presenter: Paola Casati, SDA Bocconi School of Management , Italy
Authors: Paola Casati
20. The hydrogen economy opportunities and challenges
Chair: Emanuele Piccinno, Energy consultant, Eni, Italy
Hydrogen and fuel cell: looking back to 20 year of professional experience and looking forward beyond ‘Covid-19’ and toward ‘1.5°C Perspective’
Presenter: Valentino Romeri, Energy Consultant, Italy
Authors: Valentino Romeri
Hydrogen era: yes, but when and at what cost of delivered energy?
Presenter: Alessandro Clerici, Energy Consultant, Italy
Authors: Alessandro Clerici
Opening ancillary service markets: investigating emerging opportunities for P2G in Italy
Presenter: Jan Marc Schwidtal, University of Padua, Italy
Authors: Jan Marc Schwidtal, Valerio Passarella, Marco Agostino, Fabio Bignucolo, Arturo Lorenzoni
Conference Closing
